La Liga · resolved market
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e73273a8917cbf9deeda11a59f87df84b3a81dbd099710c8d46970ff1fb678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 11,166$6,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.31 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Over | 50c | 10,401$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.68 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 49c | 4,858$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,980$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.62 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 11c | 1,910$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 52c | 986.99$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.23 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 43c | 799.97$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 63c | 758.61$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 55c | 600.01$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 585.87$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.52 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 43c | 497.81$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 489.31$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 46c | 383.22$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 57c | 295.54$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 176.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfc…678ebacked Over | 11c | 169.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 156.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 57c | 108.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 48c | 97.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 60c | 94.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 84.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 76.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Under | 44c | 66.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 53c | 60.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 32c | 57.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c31dbacked Under | 36c | 53.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 49.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…6d55backed Over | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…a40cbacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 57c | 37.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 51c | 35.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 63c | 30.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 56c | 28.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 37c | 28.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 50c | 25.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 25.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 21.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…7188backed Over | 63c | 17.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 64c | 17.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Over | 63c | 15.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5this page
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)Albacete Balompié won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.