La Liga · resolved market
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18845bb0fcfce1380ed2ec1721fa0b1fe694548355bcfa3d931288bf4212d055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 6,828$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.23 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 5,262$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 45c | 1,122$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.76 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 539.95$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.56 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 78c | 539.42$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.67 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.14 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 80c | 463.25$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.29 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 355.67$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.49 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 56c | 341.13$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Under | 20c | 325$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 48c | 285.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 79c | 238.13$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.86 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 53c | 228.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Under | 5c | 202.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.03 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 65c | 198$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 19c | 114.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Under | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…351abacked Under | 34c | 98.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 83.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 23c | 77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 20c | 61.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 77c | 48.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…1f82backed Over | 64c | 45.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 47c | 42.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…cba9backed Over | 42c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 53c | 19.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 29cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Over | 72c | 17.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5this page
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)Albacete Balompié won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.