La Liga · resolved market
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bbc30413893623fdfedc523a56c43f469284e339a750b6ba600948d1600059e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 1,588$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.11 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 38c | 1,206$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.43 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 63c | 627.11$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.08 | 477 | 49.7%237 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 439.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 78c | 394.87$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 63c | 279.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 802 | 50.2%403 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 78c | 188.82$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 22c | 137.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 62c | 117$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 69.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,669 | 43.8%731 W · 938 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…982dbacked Under | 68c | 60.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 66c | 60.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 65c | 50.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 22c | 46.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 180 | 62.8%113 W · 67 L | +33.1wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 33c | 38.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 543 | 38.5%209 W · 334 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5this page
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)Albacete Balompié won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.