TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Under61c32,256$19,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,574.343650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c9,538$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.55,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c5,325$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.751,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over37c4,173$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.561,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over34c3,566$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.672,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over39c3,200$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24818353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under69c2,891$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.3318257.1%104 W · 78 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over40c2,803$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.461,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over38c1,323$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.3940550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46812050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under59c837.22$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.261154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under65c830.48$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.671392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31221152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Under65c766.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.96540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e93…eb10backed Under79c757.98$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27313154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over39c614.56$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6893446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23416152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23417247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over39c520$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.815050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19515349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over37c400$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14942351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15614453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over39c365$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.653053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over31c364.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11314429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over39c352.32$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9947155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under72c349$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.731,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under72c327.08$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under59c320.46$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728119.8%16 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11715454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over39c294.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.481,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over36c277.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.996819.1%13 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Under74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over39c216$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.171,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7817953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.412652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over32c156.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7533452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over39c156$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8418256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over39c156$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8414953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x758c…41e9backed Over33c147.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over39c140$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.616154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011543.5%50 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under70c110$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over37c100.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe57…3920backed Under69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3916255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Over34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346643.9%29 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under58c99.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9934050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over49c95.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712941.1%53 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over40c91.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.034560%27 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over42c89.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.43040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over34c85.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.621,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.212354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…4e62backed Over42c79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.258250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9883…1d31backed Over35c74.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9970%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over39c72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0811557.4%66 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Over40c70.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under58c69.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.354346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over31c61.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.46041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518138.7%70 W · 111 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over37c55.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.519856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over34c52.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-65.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.513855.8%77 W · 61 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over39c48.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7430049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked Over35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ed…41b2backed Under64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Over39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Over38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8211759%69 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over39c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2120256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21dd…0b83backed Over41c38.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.842623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Over39c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89bf…a40cbacked Over42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over30c35.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.696943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Over38c35.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.591442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed Over41c33.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over36c33.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.069750.5%49 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over39c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4814349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.612147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over38c28.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd9…a5edbacked Under70c28.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over37c27.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.027345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Under66c16.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8d…a483backed Under71c14.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.