Asian League · resolved market
Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f5041e4fbbbc7a97e10275cd7a67d49f72f3c1a8edafe3f607ec389cffa79a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 61c | 32,256$19,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,574.34 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 9,538$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 5,325$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.75 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 37c | 4,173$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.56 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 3,566$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.67 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 39c | 3,200$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 69c | 2,891$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.33 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 40c | 2,803$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.46 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 38c | 1,323$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.39 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 59c | 837.22$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 65c | 830.48$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.67 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Under | 65c | 766.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed Under | 79c | 757.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 39c | 614.56$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.68 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 37c | 400$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 365$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 364.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 39c | 352.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 349$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 72c | 327.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 59c | 320.46$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 294.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 36c | 277.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 39c | 216$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 32c | 156.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 39c | 156$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 39c | 156$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…41e9backed Over | 33c | 147.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 37c | 100.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 49c | 95.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 40c | 91.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 42c | 89.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 85.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…4e62backed Over | 42c | 79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Over | 35c | 74.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Over | 40c | 70.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 58c | 69.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 37c | 55.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 48.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…41b2backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Over | 41c | 38.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Over | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…a40cbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 30c | 35.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 38c | 35.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Over | 41c | 33.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 36c | 33.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 38c | 28.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd9…a5edbacked Under | 70c | 28.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 37c | 27.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Under | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…a483backed Under | 71c | 14.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5this page
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Fagiano Okayama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.