Asian League · resolved market
Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051f97545683b82a00b8f181bee4ffc4b5dfe495a0b54cfd11f5af065c780c3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 29c | 1,403$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.22 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 748.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.53 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 7c | 272.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 20c | 223.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked No | 67c | 216.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 47c | 212.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes | 51c | 194.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed No | 59c | 184.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 70c | 173$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…9852backed No | 58c | 156.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed No | 65c | 153.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 8c | 148.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No | 54c | 119.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 52c | 112.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 50c | 110.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 90.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 34c | 72.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed No | 23c | 65.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 47c | 49.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…378bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 39.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 46c | 32.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 58c | 18.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Fagiano Okayama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.