Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd136e1bfb09385dcd6070eef2356240a592ea79400564fbaa22642770d2ae4e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 72c | 5,863$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.04 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 28c | 4,305$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.28 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 29c | 3,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,430$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 1,761$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.2 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,627$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.1 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,609$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.48 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 19c | 1,554$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 1,153$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.06 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 1,136$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.08 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 29c | 690.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 659.83$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 415.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…accbbacked Yes | 28c | 348.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 73c | 346.56$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 346.56$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 10c | 265.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 257$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 28c | 186.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 176$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 15c | 157$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 28c | 140.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 30c | 101.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 26c | 65.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 53.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 30c | 53.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 46.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 73c | 35.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 35.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed No | 72c | 23.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?No won
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.