Asian League · resolved market
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x662826cdd719b3331783c592f616eda24ed0b0c11e11c75cc6199ddf911fec2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 17,449$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.65 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 32c | 2,933$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,340$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.41 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 1,712$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.95 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,024$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.92 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.05 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 952.32$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.87 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked No | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Yes | 42c | 703.45$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 77c | 662.4$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 7c | 656.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 60c | 300$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 274.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 41c | 230$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 60c | 217.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 7c | 214.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 212.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 59c | 185.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 60c | 168.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 7c | 153$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 34c | 144.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 9c | 140.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 133.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 40c | 131$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…d8c4backed Yes | 41c | 126.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 65c | 107.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 41c | 105.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 40c | 86.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed No | 60c | 69.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 43c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 41c | 64.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 41c | 64.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked No | 60c | 64.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 40c | 59.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 61c | 58.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 53.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…53b8backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 60c | 35.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 45c | 35.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 75c | 32.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…17c3backed No | 37c | 31.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…3688backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Yes | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed No | 60c | 23.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.