TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ultra Primeof EDward Gaming, Ultra Prime
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeffd…5a86backed EDward Gaming21c7,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Ultra Prime75c4,510$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.9267276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked EDward Gaming24c3,437$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.541,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked EDward Gaming11c3,145$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1218046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed EDward Gaming65c2,069$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35043151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked EDward Gaming80c1,983$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.532,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ultra Prime19c1,857$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.482,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked EDward Gaming1c1,615$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Ultra Prime52c1,334$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.8576639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed EDward Gaming24c1,304$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8739239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed EDward Gaming29c1,104$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.531,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Ultra Prime71c890.44$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0814757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked EDward Gaming1c871.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7240916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Ultra Prime22c815.42$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.171,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed EDward Gaming30c781.83$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3815243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ultra Prime22c731.67$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.71,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked EDward Gaming26c680.12$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.821,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed EDward Gaming48c655$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.886251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed EDward Gaming14c605.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.379456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ultra Prime67c603.56$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.391,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked EDward Gaming79c599.51$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.725858.6%34 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f24…9141backed EDward Gaming70c499.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed EDward Gaming12c472.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.581,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed EDward Gaming78c447.98$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.741,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed EDward Gaming76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30496250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed EDward Gaming45c391.23$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8674344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Ultra Prime79c389.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed EDward Gaming41c379.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6649366.7%329 W · 164 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed EDward Gaming34c319.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,25154.1%677 W · 574 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Ultra Prime70c309.84$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4446637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c2…ae73backed EDward Gaming35c285.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed Ultra Prime61c284.17$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8213037.7%49 W · 81 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed EDward Gaming21c264.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8632741.9%137 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198b…f2ecbacked EDward Gaming79c251.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010561%64 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…33ddbacked EDward Gaming80c240$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed EDward Gaming29c237.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.872931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Ultra Prime40c226.93$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.174462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed Ultra Prime23c218.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.336341.3%26 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked EDward Gaming29c212.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4814032.1%45 W · 95 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ultra Prime20c212$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4999338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed EDward Gaming18c204.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.281,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Ultra Prime80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4023754%128 W · 109 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ultra Prime25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15064749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked EDward Gaming10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked EDward Gaming80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed EDward Gaming78c199.6$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6910452.9%55 W · 49 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed EDward Gaming31c195.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.883,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed EDward Gaming34c193$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.961,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed EDward Gaming25c188.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.641,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked EDward Gaming55c180.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063448.1%305 W · 329 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ultra Prime50c167.06$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.242,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f8…fed3backed EDward Gaming78c146.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.781163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Ultra Prime39c140.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7839447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked EDward Gaming37c140.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.447954.4%43 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c34…a023backed Ultra Prime74c134.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.296357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Ultra Prime62c130$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed EDward Gaming52c115.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6049253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed EDward Gaming76c115.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9724759.1%146 W · 101 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…e5d1backed EDward Gaming25c100.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.082250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x179d…26abbacked EDward Gaming56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5653829.9%161 W · 377 L-19.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Ultra Prime20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Ultra Prime24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed EDward Gaming46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4638743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed EDward Gaming65c99.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9916251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed EDward Gaming34c99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3942124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Ultra Prime46c98.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.244129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5434…0911backed EDward Gaming14c88.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed EDward Gaming45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032351.4%166 W · 157 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed EDward Gaming31c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3849739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked EDward Gaming24c84.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063247.6%301 W · 331 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed EDward Gaming46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.83246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Ultra Prime62c77.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.355952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed EDward Gaming17c77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3597427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Ultra Prime79c74.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6623751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed Ultra Prime55c72.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5815243.4%66 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed EDward Gaming24c65.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8910055%55 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1098…10a7backed EDward Gaming78c64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick77cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed EDward Gaming17c58.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2816043.1%69 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c7…05b5backed EDward Gaming24c56.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.671838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa01d…bb78backed EDward Gaming39c55.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked EDward Gaming65c55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.585554.7%468 W · 387 L+33.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6dd…edafbacked Ultra Prime76c54.58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.113165.6%86 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xeadd…4da1backed Ultra Prime37c53.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.571250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed EDward Gaming31c53.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6857222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked EDward Gaming48c53.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ultra Prime20c51.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2743442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked EDward Gaming30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0825331.2%79 W · 174 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed EDward Gaming46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2343040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed EDward Gaming20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed EDward Gaming78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Ultra Prime23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.511552.2%60 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked EDward Gaming77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.552151.8%270 W · 251 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Ultra Prime43c49.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2313239.4%52 W · 80 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed EDward Gaming29c48.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3323348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Ultra Prime45c48.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.424854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcce…5ed5backed Ultra Prime44c45.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Ultra Prime25c43.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.391,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Ultra Prime49c41.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2344843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…95dcbacked Ultra Prime49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8216954.4%92 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked EDward Gaming77c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.836460.2%219 W · 145 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.