Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f454a1812dfc6bf6fa054f99f9260a642c820190e9d8e96e48ce0513e867081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ultra Primeof EDward Gaming, Ultra Prime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Ultra Prime | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.97 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked EDward Gaming | 59c | 3,500$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.35 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ultra Prime | 43c | 2,172$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.04 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 1,730$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.38 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 1,624$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.9 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ultra Prime | 42c | 1,269$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Ultra Prime | 41c | 888$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.92 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 772.31$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.21 | 157 | 31.8%50 W · 107 L | -15.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 729.95$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.43 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ultra Prime | 42c | 619.44$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.07 | 648 | 49.8%323 W · 325 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked EDward Gaming | 58c | 592.97$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.92 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked EDward Gaming | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 438$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 202.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Ultra Prime | 44c | 160.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 135$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked EDward Gaming | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked EDward Gaming | 57c | 79.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 543 | 29.8%162 W · 381 L | -19.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 65.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,255 | 54.1%679 W · 576 L | -30.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Ultra Prime | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Ultra Prime | 41c | 57.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 54.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked EDward Gaming | 56c | 39.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Ultra Prime | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked EDward Gaming | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Ultra Prime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1Ultra Prime won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 WinnerUltra Prime won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.