TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$851,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,049,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $851,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit43c88,250$37,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,355.280256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION61c57,495$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION59c39,422$23,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,258.9640051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit35c30,728$10,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,034.2596557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit39c26,891$10,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,303.2128159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed PARIVISION57c21,557$12,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,325.1922848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION59c20,000$11,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,778.642650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Spirit42c18,136$7,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,556.416147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit43c15,250$6,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,686.7161456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION52c14,645$7,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,587.4548954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION62c12,313$7,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6641,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION60c11,462$6,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,829.3171454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit38c11,233$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,977.2643344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Team Spirit39c11,015$4,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,685.185244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit31c9,114$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,248.631,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit40c8,686$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,223.5536041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION52c8,476$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.31,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed PARIVISION61c8,000$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,879.994035%14 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION57c7,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9569644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION57c6,696$3,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,836.071,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed PARIVISION67c6,655$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,451.84045%18 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit65c6,524$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.5334468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION59c5,864$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.881,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed PARIVISION61c5,756$3,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.2418351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit44c5,255$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.812,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed PARIVISION18c5,240$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.0569132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Team Spirit15c5,125$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.8214825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40041242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9927153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked PARIVISION58c4,993$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.7339343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit48c4,988$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.051,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION64c4,519$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.4492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Spirit38c4,380$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.6977941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7625…78dbbacked PARIVISION74c4,250$3,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36024153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Team Spirit42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.996744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit41c3,980$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.8960349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit38c3,772$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.8377458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION56c3,510$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.5925248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Spirit37c3,500$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.4232951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION58c3,464$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00035062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Spirit36c3,455$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.1917452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit44c3,450$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,93241055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Team Spirit30c3,366$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.2314157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed PARIVISION68c3,316$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.88459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked PARIVISION62c3,279$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.985964.4%38 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit43c3,148$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.499844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed PARIVISION49c3,085$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Team Spirit26c3,061$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.4448843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed PARIVISION63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89015144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed PARIVISION67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.973562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION57c2,927$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.1330138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Team Spirit35c2,858$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.362458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit54c2,705$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.2468649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked PARIVISION16c2,698$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43950347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION59c2,660$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.2556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked PARIVISION59c2,524$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.629650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Spirit39c2,521$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.5218739%73 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Spirit53c2,311$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.9512146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit43c2,264$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.651,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit43c2,250$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29e8…091cbacked PARIVISION32c2,207$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.762030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Spirit75c2,206$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.6793546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Spirit34c2,150$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.9981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit36c2,141$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.2189741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…74fcbacked PARIVISION24c2,105$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Spirit41c2,048$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.67936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit38c2,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25088539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed PARIVISION60c1,993$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.0936248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dfc…1818backed Team Spirit36c1,977$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a94…8f9dbacked Team Spirit36c1,977$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299b…cdc1backed PARIVISION60c1,928$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1506552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked PARIVISION1c1,878$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.781153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit41c1,878$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.795342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION71c1,869$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.2977256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION55c1,852$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02535758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed PARIVISION67c1,815$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22222853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked PARIVISION64c1,777$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.2217146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa160…442bbacked Team Spirit40c1,720$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION66c1,680$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.4489938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Spirit35c1,610$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5329240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Spirit45c1,600$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.9125752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Spirit38c1,597$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.61,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c9…8c91backed PARIVISION22c1,583$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.73641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Spirit53c1,572$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.4254246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Spirit41c1,539$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.8510741.1%44 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed PARIVISION29c1,517$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.4237832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed PARIVISION66c1,505$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97536343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION72c1,500$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08079859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Team Spirit23c1,500$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.187656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Spirit36c1,454$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.1865441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked PARIVISION60c1,437$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.0113851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked PARIVISION78c1,432$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.1612764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed PARIVISION70c1,430$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked Team Spirit29c1,400$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.3721144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit36c1,400$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit21c1,363$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.371,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Team Spirit37c1,337$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.1630534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.