NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b72273de36d262e640aa7910ec2711c41763abfd1f6835cdcf042bd42716f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Clippers, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers | 9c | 6,921$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Spurs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 49c | 3,620$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.68 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Spurs | 51c | 2,077$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.75 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 52c | 1,662$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.61 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Clippers | 49c | 1,441$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.09 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 6c | 1,132$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,107$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed Clippers | 42c | 1,091$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Clippers | 12c | 994$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Clippers | 48c | 599.95$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.98 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 49c | 507.05$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spurs | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Clippers | 48c | 494.53$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.38 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs | 49c | 490$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Clippers | 51c | 475.59$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Clippers | 13c | 399.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Clippers | 14c | 330.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Spurs | 77c | 246.52$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Spurs | 51c | 210.34$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 72c | 205.32$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Clippers | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c9…52afbacked Spurs | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Clippers | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Spurs | 52c | 147.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Spurs | 52c | 145.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 53c | 143.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Clippers | 27c | 119.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Clippers | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Clippers | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Spurs | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Clippers | 13c | 80.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Spurs | 52c | 71.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Clippers | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Clippers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…7fc6backed Clippers | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Spurs | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Spurs | 52c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Spurs | 52c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Spurs | 52c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Spurs | 52c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Spurs | 52c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Spurs | 52c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Clippers | 49c | 29.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Clippers | 41c | 28.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 52c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Spurs | 52c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 56c | 24.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ClippersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.