TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,988 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Yes1c4,703$47 inLost-$47.035147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea03…a5a3backed Yes1c1,994$19 inLost-$18.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No50c948.8$470 inWon+$478.4739265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb90…4d19backed No60c808.55$489 inWon+$319.42673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes50c800$400 inLost-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df3…db0bbacked Yes6c525.26$31 inLost-$30.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes23c525.24$119 inLost-$118.943,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes50c335.98$168 inLost-$167.534,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed No46c287.05$131 inWon+$155.891070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+71.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes53c200$106 inLost-$10614251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Yes50c200$100 inLost-$1005646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed Yes53c100$53 inLost-$536344.4%28 W · 35 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No42c83.47$35 inWon+$48.415,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes58c42.02$24 inLost-$24.3728455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabb…8cc4backed Yes58c41.58$24 inLost-$24.127655.3%42 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Yes59c41.43$24 inLost-$24.3812954.3%70 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No41c39.89$16 inWon+$23.5479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes54c35$19 inLost-$18.953652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c43…31c1backed No47c34.56$16 inWon+$18.3212044.2%53 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x485b…fc40backed Yes57c33.98$19 inLost-$19.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Yes57c29.35$17 inLost-$16.6815054.7%82 W · 68 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed No47c28.08$13 inWon+$14.8843052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7de…2b59backed Yes55c24.99$14 inLost-$13.753243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+91.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf040…3a86backed Yes58c23.53$14 inLost-$13.654355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.