NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9672b08f85fc85cc3bcedd34c61f362b03d3ed1df6947a94bc6ef33101e6c1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 132,314$64,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,603.1 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans | 51c | 69,919$35,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,658.45 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pelicans | 52c | 35,141$18,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,266.21 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 34,992$17,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,496 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pelicans | 50c | 33,548$16,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,768.25 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 14,317$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,229.89 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pelicans | 57c | 13,680$7,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,844.68 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 11,901$5,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950.63 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e18…bddfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 9,796$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 50c | 9,286$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.91 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Pelicans | 54c | 9,023$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.65 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 8,500$4,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 8,400$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.97 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Pelicans | 51c | 7,474$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.55 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,490$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.11 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 51c | 5,563$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b83…59f7backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 4,156$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.99 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 4,097$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.64 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Pelicans | 50c | 3,878$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.04 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,836$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,773$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Pelicans | 50c | 3,652$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pelicans | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,325$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.55 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pelicans | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Pelicans | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans | 52c | 2,421$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.47 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans | 51c | 2,329$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.01 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,997$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.36 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca30…7060backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Pelicans | 57c | 1,706$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,604$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.67 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,601$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.25 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.77 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,112$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.05 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 1,102$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,086$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…de1bbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 1,078$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Pelicans | 50c | 860$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50d…81debacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 828.38$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 45c | 793.45$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.66 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pelicans | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 770.69$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.3 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 666.17$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.09 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 576.54$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pelicans | 51c | 530.98$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…4d90backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 504.71$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 495.69$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Pelicans | 51c | 494.82$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Pelicans | 50c | 486.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.88 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 461.39$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.54 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 437.02$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 415.32$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.21 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 414.69$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pelicans | 49c | 408.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 403.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.9 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Pelicans | 42c | 399.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Pelicans | 78c | 380.02$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.02 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 54c | 379.22$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Pelicans | 51c | 369.87$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 362.71$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…1422backed Pelicans | 71c | 361.93$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 66c | 342.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…9062backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 333.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…e0e9backed Pelicans | 51c | 323.53$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Pelicans | 51c | 313.49$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…a08abacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 301.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 295.29$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…b98cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 277.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 261.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 242.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 240.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 228.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 225.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 224.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 220.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pelicans | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 209.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Pelicans | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Pelicans | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 199.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 198.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 197.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 196.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Derik Queen: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.