NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbabdce9c6abd59c618ceb1252fb151cefca788b143e78616365de3f068498e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 17,195$8,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,969.49 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.97 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 7,866$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.15 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 6,845$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 2,091$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 48c | 1,492$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.94 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 1,492$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.94 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,104$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 50c | 873$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Under | 50c | 813.28$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.64 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 47c | 630$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 50c | 602$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 48c | 527.4$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.25 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 526.25$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.55 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 67c | 452$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.55 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 71c | 450.64$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.94 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 417.94$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.04 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 29c | 342.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 210.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Under | 48c | 199.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 46c | 195.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 30c | 192.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Over | 51c | 186.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 53c | 183.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 54c | 169.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 62c | 153.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 137.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 48c | 106.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…9c8dbacked Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 76.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 26c | 67.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 46c | 60.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 54c | 49.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 41.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…6eacbacked Under | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 53c | 28.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…d60abacked Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…491bbacked Under | 39c | 27.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 25.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…4e54backed Over | 54c | 24.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…cdccbacked Over | 54c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Over | 54c | 18.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Derik Queen: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.