TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c93,940$42,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,661.6254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Over55c62,303$34,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,266.793860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c30,579$16,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,782.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x992a…5e34backed Under45c14,034$6,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,718.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over56c3,913$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.0618536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over55c3,087$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over55c3,058$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.691,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c2,548$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.21,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c2,173$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.432,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over70c1,410$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.7760444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Over74c1,330$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.42060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c1,322$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.583,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c1,222$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.321,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c1,193$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.23,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,011$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c932.56$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.7489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Over2c919.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.382352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under45c907.82$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.327241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over55c895.16$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3420651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over55c889.4$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.7871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c782.28$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.061,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over52c776.96$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.0210251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over18c693.92$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over50c664.25$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1317637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c642.88$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.14,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under31c629.96$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.5221443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c627.59$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.962,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over35c617.42$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.085463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over69c567.92$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5946258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c554.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over55c530.29$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.661,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Over24c513.55$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.183554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over43c441.2$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.261,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under77c433.3$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c430.43$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under46c429.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.8693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over31c413.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.825250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under49c397.77$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3636450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over39c365.6$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7411033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over26c355$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.33,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over70c351.12$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4911873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Over16c323.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.363056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c318.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.244,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00f…e0e9backed Over53c311.71$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.213141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16215543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under49c287.91$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8416845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over55c279.37$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over59c257.51$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.031,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under70c253.82$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9519550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over10c238.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.115252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under45c228.6$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.731,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over8c222.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.714852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under48c210.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under48c210.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3211453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Under49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.134855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over52c168.09$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4126755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under29c165.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.31,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under48c163.49$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0114445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a82…491bbacked Under32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c149.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.712,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x406d…5298backed Over55c138.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.641250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under47c136.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under46c136.66$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4160049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under49c128$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2834247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under48c127.88$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.518744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under47c124.28$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over54c122.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Over53c119.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.172050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under48c117.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a5e…81ffbacked Under41c117.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.42250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over77c115.27$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.766861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over51c114.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2411558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under48c111.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9315650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c109.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.765,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Over55c108.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.373342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under50c106.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3528949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over77c103.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.818850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4547738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Over67c97.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.983342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Over53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.519361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4436749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over67c95.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.121,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.824057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under30c92.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.922,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.591,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over60c90.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7634953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c90.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under48c90.1$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8516245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under52c87.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under48c87.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3436153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f96…6864backed Over49c85.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.232236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over53c78.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7927251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under48c74.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7920249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over25c70.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7420349.3%100 W · 103 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.