Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520a22ae427ca1609b4d46ac9f26753f49b0cbc98e147f6bed7925310d291ffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 49c | 3,927$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 51c | 3,923$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.24 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 3,078$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.81 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 49c | 2,998$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.98 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 1,731$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 1,129$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.17 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,116$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.84 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 52c | 1,067$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.31 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Over | 67c | 1,053$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.63 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 746.1$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.98 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 21c | 476.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 33c | 476.36$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 412.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 343.4$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 324$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 323.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 315.8$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 271.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 51c | 196.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 169.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 139.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 133.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…9f76backed Over | 61c | 111.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 16c | 104.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…0c25backed Over | 51c | 103.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 51c | 99.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 50c | 98.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…0c6dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 97.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 51c | 47.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 50c | 41.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…5cf7backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f36…5d0abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 51c | 32.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 31.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…febcbacked Over | 48c | 31.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c50…fd07backed Over | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 51c | 23.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 54c | 18.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5this page
- Colombia vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.