Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35c1a555f92e8d19fe57c8345ba0cdbb3d7f6dbb03294dc86e11376ddf52809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,557$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 46c | 1,487$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 42c | 912.18$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.18 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 869.91$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.95 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 58c | 695.69$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 442.91$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 68c | 294.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 69c | 290.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 28c | 249.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 70c | 243.53$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 234.58$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 55c | 224.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 66c | 219.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 218.46$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 23c | 213.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…9f76backed Over | 61c | 198.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Over | 51c | 197.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 29c | 194.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 72c | 192.54$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 72c | 189.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 179.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 44c | 164.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Under | 33c | 162.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 39c | 153.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 29c | 143.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 116.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 37c | 101.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…23cfbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 80c | 96.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Over | 78c | 85.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 72c | 83.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 72c | 81.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 78.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 38c | 72.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…b9c8backed Over | 17c | 69.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 37c | 62.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 72c | 62.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 58.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 52.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Over | 52c | 52.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 48.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 79c | 46.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 76c | 35.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 31.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…800cbacked Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 77c | 20.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Over | 78c | 20.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Over | 73c | 20.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 55c | 19.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 67c | 15.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 72c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 76c | 13.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5this page
- Colombia vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.