Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8267cde29ac255455f796ecf55a6c60e80c3c71dbafeb67d93206e1edb74db7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,673 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 5c | 13,297$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.07 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 13,249$9,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.78 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 10,996$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 7,391$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.02 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 73c | 6,837$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.8 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 4,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 4,352$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.11 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 3,096$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.78 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Falcons | 72c | 2,672$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.89 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 2,526$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 2,496$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.47 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Virtus.pro | 4c | 2,444$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,995$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.8 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 1,712$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.77 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 1,493$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,464$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.04 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,459$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 4c | 1,335$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 1,196$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.18 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 76c | 1,052$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.48 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 1,000$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.23 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Falcons | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 999.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 999.72$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 936.7$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Falcons | 71c | 861.72$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.55 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 854.68$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 818.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.46 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 800.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.66 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 777.57$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 773.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 768.14$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 751.69$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 736$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 727.29$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 74c | 620.27$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 71c | 587.6$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked Virtus.pro | 3c | 561.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 70c | 539.28$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 450.48$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 412$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 411.84$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…ea2ebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 399.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 390$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Team Falcons | 72c | 380.56$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Falcons | 73c | 377.03$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 355.99$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…a1fbbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Team Falcons | 74c | 351.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 346.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons | 78c | 343.8$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 343.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 334.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 331.11$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 326.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 325.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Virtus.pro | 8c | 310$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Falcons | 73c | 305.88$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 283.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Falcons | 73c | 274.82$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 273.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…5af6backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 272.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 255.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 215.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 215.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 208.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Falcons | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Team Falcons | 73c | 199.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Team Falcons | 73c | 189.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 181.04$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Team Falcons | 73c | 179.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Team Falcons | 73c | 177.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 173.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 173.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Team Falcons | 80c | 172.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 172.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 172.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 169$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 164$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 163.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 259 | 53.3%138 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Falcons | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 129.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 120.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Falcons | 70c | 120.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 109.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Team Falcons | 73c | 101.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 100.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Team Falcons | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 97.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Team Falcons | 72c | 93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.