Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a83f316aa94a4258dae7df8c87d85eb376c1518ac83f21f513e3f18637e1f5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,870 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 39,607$27,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,081.5 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 38,100$9,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,076.82 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 10,253$7,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.54 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 9,890$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.96 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 9,333$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.89 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 8,456$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.96 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons | 73c | 7,980$5,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.98 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 6,892$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.8 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Falcons | 69c | 6,085$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.32 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 4,374$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.03 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 3,876$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 3,224$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.27 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 3,188$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.76 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,291$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.29 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 79c | 2,227$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.89 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 2,098$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.16 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,684$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.22 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,546$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.88 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,499$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.28 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,459$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.44 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,435$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.35 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,400$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b6…ed97backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,107$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,101$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.39 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,050$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,012$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.61 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,008$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.07 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 72c | 999.97$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Virtus.pro | 8c | 981$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 978.65$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Falcons | 71c | 934.82$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.1 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 899.75$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 890.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 74c | 867.31$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Falcons | 71c | 853.4$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.19 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 845.84$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 776.8$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 748.25$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…020dbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 717.24$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Team Falcons | 72c | 706.25$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 672.75$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.57 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 619.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 608.55$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 596$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Virtus.pro | 11c | 592.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Team Falcons | 72c | 580$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Falcons | 70c | 576.38$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.96 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 531.3$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 76c | 510.88$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 504.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Team Falcons | 71c | 461.53$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Team Falcons | 71c | 435.59$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 412.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 410$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 406.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Falcons | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Team Falcons | 71c | 399.37$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Falcons | 77c | 391.69$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Team Falcons | 71c | 390.49$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 320.76$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 290.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Falcons | 73c | 286.95$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 282$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 278.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 264.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…b40dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 226.33$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 223.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 221.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 217.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed Team Falcons | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…ae3ebacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 190.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Team Falcons | 70c | 172.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed Team Falcons | 71c | 169.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 165.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 162.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Team Falcons | 71c | 152.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 73c | 152.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Team Falcons | 71c | 143.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 142.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 142.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…2b8fbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 139.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 139.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Team Falcons | 71c | 129.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 127.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 124.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7f4bbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 124.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.