Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c5f86cdb325d3bc244956ac7dc6f6247df319b5dd60d63df7fd125d6a9603c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,036 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 69c | 7,217$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.61 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 3,901$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 3,091$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.11 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 2,800$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Team Falcons | 80c | 2,724$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.83 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 2,540$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,992$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.57 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 1,875$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.15 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,330$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,150$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.39 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 929.53$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 839.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 641.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 556.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 499.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…273bbacked Virtus.pro | 7c | 450.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 433.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 416.23$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…ea2ebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 392.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1145…e384backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 330$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 308.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 307.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Falcons | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…09febacked Team Falcons | 72c | 298.61$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 277.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 270.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed Team Falcons | 69c | 270.01$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed Team Falcons | 72c | 266$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b6…2262backed Team Falcons | 68c | 264.48$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…3b06backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 232.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 221.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 199.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…68e3backed Team Falcons | 70c | 198.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 180.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Team Falcons | 66c | 168.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3715backed Team Falcons | 67c | 161$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 149.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Team Falcons | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Team Falcons | 74c | 144.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 134.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…38e7backed Team Falcons | 69c | 129.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…cb12backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 100.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Team Falcons | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 97.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 88.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 76.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…4d6bbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed Team Falcons | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Team Falcons | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 70.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Falcons | 71c | 66.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 64.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb86…ed65backed Team Falcons | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 60.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 55.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Team Falcons | 70c | 51.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Team Falcons | 71c | 50.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…92e0backed Team Falcons | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Team Falcons | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Team Falcons | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c6…5a47backed Team Falcons | 66c | 39.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 37.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6221…44edbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 36.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46a…3656backed Team Falcons | 71c | 35.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…0cbfbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…50adbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58a…224abacked Team Falcons | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…c7abbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…87a9backed Team Falcons | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…d8d8backed Team Falcons | 79c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…d298backed Team Falcons | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3d2cbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Falcons | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Team Falcons | 68c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.