TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes58c50,725$29,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,420.733151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes2c50,309$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.352,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c14,091$5,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,397.424,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92a…b680backed Yes0c10,021$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No43c9,852$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,653.9636850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No43c6,908$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.642343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No42c6,300$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,65421444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No42c5,806$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,366.7410558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c5,566$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.0337144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No48c5,560$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.151030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c5,478$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,177.341,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes56c4,465$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.9810026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No42c4,301$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.771050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c4,050$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.7774034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3602454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No41c3,900$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.739048.9%44 W · 46 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes52c3,857$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.641323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.973138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c2,648$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.9617338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No46c2,502$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.516342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No44c2,222$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.0750850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No42c2,217$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.381145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes52c2,188$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.354645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes60c2,132$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.9113843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0607842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9929250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No23c1,921$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.428332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes58c1,724$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.522448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes57c1,669$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.516139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes58c1,295$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010956.9%62 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes55c1,219$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.55242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70842352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7082454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes56c1,076$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.1268141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes51c1,043$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.6915763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No43c948.74$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.1186455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No42c842.89$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8714948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes58c777.53$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.971540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…2839backed Yes58c740$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.23644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No42c735.37$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5120044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cf…e53bbacked No43c729.91$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbab…d156backed No43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3992536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No42c699.97$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.9821957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97a5…cb58backed Yes58c690$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No45c675.79$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.9311951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No42c666$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa90b…3b03backed Yes56c665.11$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3702544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No44c665$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.41428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes53c611.02$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.182,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3422152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes57c561.4$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Yes72c552.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes56c529.63$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.316341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No44c513$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.281560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No44c509.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.591844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed No44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28524749.8%123 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29013643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No29c483.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.434,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes58c453.15$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.574,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes56c439.89$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.371,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No42c439.03$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6423749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbe…088dbacked Yes57c416$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No42c406.62$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8424653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No42c399.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.996051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No43c399.86$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9233555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.147236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes58c356.9$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes57c349.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+53.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes55c327.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes58c325.12$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.575448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No30c318.33$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.2523738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No42c299.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.991442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No51c299.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9910550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed Yes52c294.23$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536723.9%16 W · 51 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No41c287.94$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8926454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes55c271.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-81.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Yes56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010041%41 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes59c267.2$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.712128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes58c265.34$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.93336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Yes56c263.54$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.581643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No42c254$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2210335%36 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d77…b7bebacked No42c239.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick26cpaid+198.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed No43c232$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes52c215.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003727%10 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes61c211.01$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7125954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes56c207$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8325948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11846453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.