Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9d0004adae594abaa97db168afa204ef04ed88e46c23744c9d47d53b397d58b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e87…7b08backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 19c | 26,343$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…b282backed Yes | 14c | 11,050$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…1fcbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…9c45backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 18c | 7,667$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 18c | 6,968$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.24 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…8f14backed Yes | 18c | 6,236$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 6c | 4,270$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes | 11c | 4,267$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 18c | 2,805$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 17c | 2,534$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.38 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 15c | 1,140$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…c284backed Yes | 19c | 1,058$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 18c | 979.92$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 21c | 849$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 735.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…45f4backed Yes | 17c | 655$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 18c | 552.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 5c | 549.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7d…c7d0backed Yes | 19c | 498.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 468.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 11c | 408.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 341.67$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…112ebacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88a…9df8backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 16c | 274.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 251.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 225$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Yes | 17c | 200.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 78c | 199.9$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 196.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…5994backed Yes | 17c | 172.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…7c71backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Yes | 17c | 144.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…e607backed Yes | 18c | 130.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 125.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…7949backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…1f2ebacked Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…4035backed Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…c4d1backed Yes | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9608…2cefbacked Yes | 18c | 115$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Yes | 9c | 112.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…74ffbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 19c | 111$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1f10backed Yes | 19c | 109$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…f744backed Yes | 19c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe2…7f9fbacked Yes | 19c | 107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…d84abacked Yes | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0398…e181backed Yes | 19c | 103.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…2125backed Yes | 18c | 103$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…050abacked Yes | 19c | 102$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…5e08backed Yes | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 112 | 63.4%71 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…0425backed Yes | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 94.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 24c | 90.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes | 19c | 83.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 21c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…cec5backed Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…b87cbacked Yes | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 17c | 68.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2595…aa0fbacked Yes | 18c | 63.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…f86fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.