TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No0c108,020$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.442,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes26c53,516$13,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,636.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes26c40,311$10,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,831.261353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c20,653$15,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,503.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c16,240$12,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,004.141,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No74c12,904$9,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,528.6536850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No74c10,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,40074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes26c9,694$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,222.1133555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No74c8,000$5,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9202454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes28c7,251$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.251136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes25c5,000$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,729.9510548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c4,723$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.3637144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No74c4,034$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No74c4,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9607045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c2,600$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95021444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c2,400$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77642352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No74c2,400$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7762454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No59c2,152$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.9274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No74c2,040$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.618850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes19c1,309$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.1222337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No78c1,112$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.6386455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Yes26c984.62$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+144.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5922254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59211646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes26c799.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b1…3678backed Yes30c795$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.061127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes26c776.93$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.9388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes17c774.73$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.518930.3%27 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No60c713.16$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.910366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No74c701$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.7426454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No21c700$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.52040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No75c684.88$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.750850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No5c542.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.534,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37521957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No66c500$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0525954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3756051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b18…cbe3backed No63c498.49$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.681668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521d…713bbacked No74c458$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29646453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29639749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No75c385.17$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.824653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No75c385.08$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8123749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.624250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.628936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Yes26c379.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3712241%50 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c329.13$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3922656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No62c327.19$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4916341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No74c320$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.811748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa58…daa8backed No74c311$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x448c…c0febacked No74c311$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Yes39c304$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04c…c640backed Yes26c294.77$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+193.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No75c294.28$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7114948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No74c280$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.212350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c280$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.213050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea9…329dbacked No74c274$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a0…e30abacked No74c260$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked No13c259.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf70c…4d5bbacked No74c248$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c240$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.620245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40f7…ab3cbacked No74c239$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4211…e724backed No74c236$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a17…282bbacked No74c226$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No74c224$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7610442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe92b…8186backed No74c223$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes27c222$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0648140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No74c218.64$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0110153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1487945.6%36 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14667354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1487349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14845949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1488055%44 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Yes26c192.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No74c192$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.085754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No74c192$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0810944%48 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c192$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0835848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf97…dc45backed No74c191.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No75c185.14$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.825554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes30c183$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.12,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked No75c169.89$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.387143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No74c168$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3217557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.412147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.47450%37 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.46850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.46852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.46349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.47552%39 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.47848.7%38 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.47050%35 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.45149%25 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.47553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No74c160$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.45558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No74c159.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.396051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No74c159.45$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9968141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes18c158.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.634,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed No74c151$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.742152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.