TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c67,793$35,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,234.723158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Over49c46,997$22,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,168.444452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over48c41,814$20,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,741.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Over51c30,729$15,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,057.143850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under53c23,979$12,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,708.893455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c22,388$10,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,640.317643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c20,436$10,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,013.762,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over47c16,111$7,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,504.0878155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under51c14,096$7,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,188.7710749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c11,056$5,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.3325145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under52c9,046$4,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,701.878148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c8,721$4,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,447.7684147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9404628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4508946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over49c4,024$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.492661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under51c3,854$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.5123243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c3,370$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.821,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over50c3,114$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.241118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Under52c2,974$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.375556.4%31 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Under49c2,752$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over48c2,663$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.982334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Under50c2,540$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.33847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over49c2,400$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2244744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa827…dcc2backed Under51c2,034$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over48c1,983$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.9113356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c1,962$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.6215557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under49c1,726$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.846336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ae…e370backed Under49c1,581$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.691838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over49c1,341$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over49c1,266$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.538845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5885740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under51c1,120$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.1719446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,113$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58313343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53914447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under53c1,093$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.4346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c1,024$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.65,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f72…62eabacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Under49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over49c991.25$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.5410846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under51c971.82$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.6325544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c901.34$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.6818744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c877.14$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.891,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Under52c857.82$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.071241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb930…eadebacked Under49c652.26$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c553.13$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5710739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Under52c479.45$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.297938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under51c465.76$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5485248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5346…bfd5backed Under51c420.92$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over49c400.78$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0969350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over49c398.13$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.053256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over50c337.03$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5117051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c336.56$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.478246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over49c303.44$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7627045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over50c297.38$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6930853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over50c296.8$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.45350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under51c178.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under52c166.7$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.691656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over49c152.65$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.856251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc3backed Under52c152.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.34146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over49c151.47$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2515850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under51c118$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.181850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c111.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1116650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under51c110.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.451450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d34…5cf7backed Over50c109.22$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Under52c99.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.552365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92dc…7916backed Under50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.565044%22 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Over49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.491442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Under51c98.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.056040%24 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under51c97.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5448551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Over60c89.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.996767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed Over50c84.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.091952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4018048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under40c69.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7552843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…a06dbacked Under52c66.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over49c66.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7918556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over50c63.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d65…4072backed Under54c61.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.251080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Over49c60.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3410244.1%45 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.14372.1%31 W · 12 L+10.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+72.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under50c59.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under51c58.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8330050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under51c58.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8324148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under51c58.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8332850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x362b…04e2backed Under52c57.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…730fbacked Under50c53.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Over51c51.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.097146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under39c50.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8310048%48 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.519441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over49c49.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3727650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under48c49.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.797460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd13…62fbbacked Under51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under21c48.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.093737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21df…b73cbacked Under50c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.