Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25df3629f27705aa0fae9c8338f1edabff67c41db15d7f4fb952e778969e1b1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Longhornsof Purdue Boilermakers, Texas Longhorns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Texas Longhorns | 52c | 66,541$34,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,846.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 36,198$17,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,357.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 9,058$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.94 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 7,615$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 6,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.98 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas Longhorns | 49c | 4,987$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.43 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 4,866$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.69 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 4,804$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.77 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 4,559$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.69 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 3,979$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.64 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 3,943$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.02 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 2,603$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.2 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 2,248$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.65 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Texas Longhorns | 52c | 1,906$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Texas Longhorns | 51c | 1,284$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.31 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 1,135$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.68 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Texas Longhorns | 49c | 981.34$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 676.03$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Texas Longhorns | 52c | 525.03$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.01 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Texas Longhorns | 51c | 427.34$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…8253backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 252.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…f75abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 239.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Purdue Boilermakers | 45c | 216.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 211.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 46c | 197.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 161.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Texas Longhorns | 51c | 136.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…c4b2backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 110.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 105.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Texas Longhorns | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05aa…aca6backed Texas Longhorns | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Purdue Boilermakers | 39c | 93.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Texas Longhorns | 61c | 81.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Texas Longhorns | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 57.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…e1fdbacked Texas Longhorns | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 46.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 42.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…7566backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas Longhorns | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…1831backed Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Texas Longhorns | 57c | 35.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…f95bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-5.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 152.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 153.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 154.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.