TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 152.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,843 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x69b4…f95fbacked Under59c237.96$140 inLost-$139.73070%21 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c171.12$75 inLost-$75.134,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb007…21f2backed Under48c143.82$68 inLost-$68.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under50c98.09$49 inLost-$49.1952843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c92.23$46 inWon+$46.145,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over49c88$43 inWon+$44.526272.6%45 W · 17 L+10.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c79.29$39 inLost-$38.841,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over41c60.53$25 inWon+$36.024067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over56c58.16$32 inWon+$25.792,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over41c48$19 inWon+$28.565362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c44$22 inWon+$22.4446246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over43c36.98$16 inWon+$21.162176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over59c30$18 inWon+$12.371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over54c28.52$15 inWon+$13.1964647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over75c14.12$11 inWon+$3.538372.3%60 W · 23 L+14.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.