TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$327,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over46c197,979$91,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,908.5989645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c42,643$22,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,946.6225145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under53c31,221$16,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,448.9278155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under54c29,739$16,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,059.168148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Under52c19,092$9,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,913.124551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c15,021$8,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,066.091,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under54c13,860$7,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,484.6484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c13,707$7,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,401.682,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Over47c11,895$5,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,304.5544452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under52c10,028$5,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,169.451,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c9,567$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.1190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under54c8,560$4,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,632.7333438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over46c7,930$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,282.4410648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Under54c7,025$3,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,793.555947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c5,654$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.124,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c4,091$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.015,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.982,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c3,337$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.745,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c3,278$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.721,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Over47c2,932$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.124656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over47c2,298$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.144143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under45c2,176$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.1932751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under45c2,169$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.073855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over50c2,109$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.4818556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c2,040$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.5214447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over47c2,013$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.055060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Over47c2,013$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.054360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0603554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under54c1,740$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.615858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c1,737$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.582,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under54c1,395$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.3955749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over46c1,178$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.941250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5506142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c1,054$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.6992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over50c1,024$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.4842948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Under55c901.22$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.671838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under45c875.55$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39419147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under45c847.35$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.319352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c795.74$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9118744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over46c646.5$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb1…0787backed Over48c619.54$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.16955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under51c586.89$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.074652.2%24 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under54c562.38$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under48c554.34$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6325544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Under54c550.71$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.381250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under53c467.59$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.821118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-65.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under8c459.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.076844.1%30 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Over48c444.58$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over46c431$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.742330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under54c429.65$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8969350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Over47c421.82$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.571741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0643…d46bbacked Over47c421.56$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.39348.4%45 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c401.32$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.581,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over47c330.67$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5131448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over45c324.65$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5637246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under54c300.37$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3a…5dc0backed Under7c285.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under54c238.65$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8717950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under21c232.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6919522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over56c225.39$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.752152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under45c220.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.135048%24 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under45c220.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.132070%14 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over53c217.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…378cbacked Under53c206.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Over48c206.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.344153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under51c199.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under53c198.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.081,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd8…a07dbacked Over48c185.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1322047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Under55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a3…f319backed Over48c175.76$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37fc…7d57backed Under53c170.27$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2440%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bd5…ef34backed Under53c166.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.48535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa065…00d4backed Over48c155.61$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under45c155.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7733445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…c0a0backed Over48c154.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under49c153.28$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.117044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over47c152.66$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9117051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Over47c149$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under45c148.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.921844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0129…52cdbacked Over48c141.12$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Over46c129.3$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.823348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Under45c120.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.314748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over56c106.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.741566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8742…5e43backed Under55c104.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under36c102.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.897749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5428354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4bb…a993backed Over67c99.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.852665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Over46c99.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.533151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c99.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5460548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Over47c94.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0110244.1%45 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under54c94.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.