Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a37696c5c1112dd80a520896618a553e18e7bbaf3cf26aeeb9ea9ef3658e6ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25c2…08c7backed Under | 43c | 187.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 64c | 118.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 40c | 104.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 64c | 58.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 64c | 36.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 36c | 36.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…5dc0backed Under | 31c | 36.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 64c | 31.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 149.5this page
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-5.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 152.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 153.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 154.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.