Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ff1e0234bcff62fd2c38d37483d4bbdb2f54291fe419c89edbcb17876b9bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Azure Dragon Gamingof Nightblood Gaming, Azure Dragon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 51c | 37,739$19,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,468.88 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 10,183$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.63 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 52c | 4,445$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.25 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nightblood Gaming | 52c | 4,175$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.48 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 52c | 4,175$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 51c | 2,271$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.69 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 2,031$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 1,782$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.42 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Nightblood Gaming | 50c | 1,584$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.15 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 15c | 1,512$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.81 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…f557backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 1,332$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.08 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 1,312$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.16 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebd…a8ecbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 1,023$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Nightblood Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 51c | 941.96$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 934.86$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.26 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 52c | 866.54$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.54 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 50c | 790.89$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.54 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 52c | 767.97$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 762.5$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 724.49$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 46c | 688.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.94 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 663$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 591$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.59 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 421.96$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…cbb7backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 399.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Nightblood Gaming | 53c | 371.38$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 363$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 336$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 334.69$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 334.69$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 332$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed Nightblood Gaming | 60c | 331.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 331$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 331$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 330$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 330$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 51c | 329$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 327$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Nightblood Gaming | 53c | 306$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 269$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 268$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 265$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 239.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 27c | 218.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Nightblood Gaming | 47c | 214.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 57c | 212.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…e12dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…ca0bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nightblood Gaming | 33c | 201.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 51c | 196.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…139abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 54c | 184.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Nightblood Gaming | 55c | 182.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 169$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 168$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 168$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 166$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 166$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 166$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 166$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…608cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 166$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 165.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 165.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 165$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aee…7ed5backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 155.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…b2cebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nightblood Gaming | 31c | 153.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nightblood Gaming | 22c | 141.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 135$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 28c | 131.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 52c | 108.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nightblood Gaming | 52c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 59c | 104.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 60c | 100.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAzure Dragon Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.