Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67339ef49c5f5c0e211e67e6bd9785bda3a235257bfe61011ac147f346d9449d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hamburger SVof BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, Hamburger SV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,027 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 43c | 94,929$40,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,819.64 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hamburger SV | 57c | 74,685$42,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,174.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hamburger SV | 57c | 19,500$11,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,385 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 4,366$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.45 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 3,998$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.11 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Hamburger SV | 56c | 3,825$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.17 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 3,300$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.59 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hamburger SV | 54c | 2,943$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.64 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hamburger SV | 56c | 2,682$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.1 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hamburger SV | 55c | 1,541$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.61 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 35c | 1,258$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hamburger SV | 56c | 1,201$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hamburger SV | 55c | 1,153$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.91 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Hamburger SV | 55c | 971$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 966.27$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.16 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hamburger SV | 79c | 936.62$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Hamburger SV | 57c | 683.75$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Hamburger SV | 57c | 606.46$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.45 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hamburger SV | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 485.62$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 436.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.14 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Hamburger SV | 53c | 335.85$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 305.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 47c | 285.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 21c | 252$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hamburger SV | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 238.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 204.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Hamburger SV | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 19c | 198.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Hamburger SV | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 188.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hamburger SV | 54c | 180.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 9c | 176.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Hamburger SV | 53c | 174.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 30c | 168.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Hamburger SV | 57c | 151.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hamburger SV | 54c | 149$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 130.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…d8e4backed Hamburger SV | 80c | 125.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Hamburger SV | 54c | 115.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 31c | 112.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 109.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 34c | 107.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 18c | 107$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Hamburger SV | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 21c | 99.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 45c | 99.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Hamburger SV | 57c | 87.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 28c | 85.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 45c | 79.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 20c | 78.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 68.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…b478backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…b089backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 60.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Hamburger SV | 53c | 59.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 43c | 58.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 57.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Hamburger SV | 55c | 55.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…71bfbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…6816backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…3dbabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Hamburger SV | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Hamburger SV | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Hamburger SV | 57c | 32.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb154…f726backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 32.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Hamburger SV | 58c | 30.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…257cbacked Hamburger SV | 55c | 30.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Hamburger SV | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…5cf7backed Hamburger SV | 57c | 26.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…9cc7backed Hamburger SV | 54c | 25.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Hamburger SV | 56c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Hamburger SV | 57c | 18.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.