TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hamburger SVof BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, Hamburger SV
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,027 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund43c94,929$40,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,819.646358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hamburger SV57c74,685$42,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,174.933,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hamburger SV57c19,500$11,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,38516652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c4,366$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.457345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c3,998$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.1133244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Hamburger SV56c3,825$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.177057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c3,300$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.5910361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hamburger SV54c2,943$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.646465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hamburger SV56c2,682$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.11,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hamburger SV55c1,541$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.6134144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund35c1,258$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404025%10 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hamburger SV56c1,201$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hamburger SV55c1,153$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9135856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Hamburger SV55c971$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c966.27$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.161776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hamburger SV79c936.62$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.492,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Hamburger SV57c683.75$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.842540%10 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hamburger SV57c606.46$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.4530647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hamburger SV54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23056547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c485.62$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c436.68$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1410642.5%45 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dca…ce96backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c386.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+80.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c386.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hamburger SV53c335.85$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c305.32$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1388124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c285.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.194055%22 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund21c252$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7653140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hamburger SV54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c238.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.073215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c204.57$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5833938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9217055.3%94 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Hamburger SV56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8813859.4%82 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund19c198.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.86645.5%30 W · 36 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Hamburger SV58c198.28$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c188.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.161844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hamburger SV54c180.57$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4522047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund9c176.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7922221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Hamburger SV53c174.64$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0820545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund30c168.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.154456.8%25 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Hamburger SV57c151.66$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8120153.7%108 W · 93 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hamburger SV54c149$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5410154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c130.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b0…d8e4backed Hamburger SV80c125.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Hamburger SV54c115.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund31c112.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c109.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.596541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund34c107.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund18c107$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.267950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Hamburger SV56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund21c99.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9914726.5%39 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c99.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Hamburger SV57c87.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3818353%97 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund28c85.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1728822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c79.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9934655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund20c78.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c68.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-63.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b9c…b478backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund43c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6612056.7%68 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa747…b089backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c60.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Hamburger SV53c59.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2863645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund43c58.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c57.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Hamburger SV55c55.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7425850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0a…71bfbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40dd…6816backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31bb…3dbabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c39.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c33…ff7cbacked Hamburger SV55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed Hamburger SV58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Hamburger SV57c32.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8714734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb154…f726backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c32.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Hamburger SV58c30.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f60…257cbacked Hamburger SV55c30.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.74683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3612…cf99backed Hamburger SV55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d34…5cf7backed Hamburger SV57c26.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e7…9cc7backed Hamburger SV54c25.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Hamburger SV56c19.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Hamburger SV57c18.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.