Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ab7b217e198480ab8759c51674e3b70f82d4496aedf497012f79eb3140e2845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,414 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 37,239$8,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,897.63 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 79c | 23,729$18,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 11,929$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.73 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 61c | 6,719$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.51 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 75c | 6,035$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 5,680$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.17 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 38c | 5,028$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 21c | 4,191$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.05 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 39c | 4,050$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.13 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 63c | 2,857$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.14 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 47c | 2,184$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 2,145$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Under | 14c | 1,643$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 14c | 1,102$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c9…28f4backed Over | 76c | 912.99$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 61c | 901.64$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.64 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 17c | 863.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 19c | 835$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 62c | 671.83$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.93 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…caf8backed Over | 60c | 664.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 79c | 637.66$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 19c | 558.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 78c | 368.31$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 21c | 363.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 61c | 329$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 23c | 304.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 259.81$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Over | 62c | 251.72$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 39c | 222$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 80c | 175.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 27c | 174.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 54c | 174.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 61c | 163$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 39c | 125.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 39c | 115.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 77c | 98.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 22c | 98.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 74c | 95.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 39c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 39c | 84.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…dfc9backed Over | 76c | 80.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 25c | 72.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 60c | 65.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 40c | 62.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 39c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 61c | 49.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…25e4backed Under | 32c | 47.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 74c | 40.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 62c | 35.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 61c | 33.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 42c | 32.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…273ebacked Over | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Over | 73c | 30.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 72c | 25.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…6abbbacked Over | 59c | 25.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 61c | 24.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Over | 73c | 23.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 57c | 23.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 61c | 20.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.