Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ce736596a250f64d0900862d179810d852c76ffb5a2950672e30432dc1e24c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,487 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 16,603$8,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,663.74 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 40c | 13,610$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,488.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 62c | 6,594$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.7 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 38c | 5,134$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 39c | 4,595$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.98 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 38c | 3,745$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.09 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 61c | 3,297$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.22 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 2,890$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.53 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 62c | 1,308$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 61c | 1,247$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.66 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 61c | 1,231$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.06 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 61c | 1,203$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.95 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 39c | 1,038$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.46 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Over | 53c | 999.9$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.95 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 904.13$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 61c | 686.87$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 37c | 667.67$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 40c | 660.94$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.64 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 49c | 620$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 613.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 58c | 599.82$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 39c | 521.52$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.36 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Under | 62c | 499.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 499.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 470.03$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.61 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 61c | 452.33$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 62c | 403$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 39c | 380$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.8 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 346.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 327.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 60c | 324.91$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 68c | 296.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 47c | 287.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 61c | 247.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 38c | 235.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 46c | 230.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Over | 39c | 218.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 38c | 215.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 53c | 209.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5a…2a37backed Over | 54c | 204.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 46c | 195.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 56c | 178.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Over | 39c | 177$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 61c | 172$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 51c | 166.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Over | 41c | 153.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 64c | 140.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 72c | 129.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 39c | 128.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…c1ebbacked Under | 61c | 126.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 126.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 62c | 125.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 123.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 65c | 122.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Under | 52c | 115.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 11c | 103.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 61c | 98.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 61c | 94.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 37c | 94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 83.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 59c | 75.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 49c | 74.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 31c | 63.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 62c | 61.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 62c | 59.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 38c | 57.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Over | 50c | 57.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Over | 61c | 50.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…5083backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.