NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0e6093f89665659fcd08624e4ccb6abc1514d336cfccb9f308ecf5a107555e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,097 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 47c | 8,783$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.55 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 7,094$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.05 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 5,335$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a82…c4b9backed Under | 51c | 4,602$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 4,089$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.08 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…90b6backed Under | 51c | 4,005$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.83 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 3,913$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 3,561$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.88 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…a188backed Under | 51c | 3,312$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 3,248$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.8 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…bdb5backed Under | 51c | 3,201$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 34c | 2,666$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…db6fbacked Under | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…03b6backed Over | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…7660backed Under | 50c | 2,493$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a3…304dbacked Under | 49c | 2,480$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…6b0cbacked Over | 50c | 2,455$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…ba1ebacked Under | 49c | 2,450$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 2,442$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…6dc1backed Under | 49c | 2,401$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…d066backed Over | 50c | 2,395$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…6ae8backed Under | 50c | 2,381$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…f36fbacked Over | 51c | 2,366$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4e8ebacked Under | 50c | 2,327$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…3976backed Over | 51c | 2,244$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…90f5backed Under | 49c | 2,236$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.34 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3927…aef4backed Over | 51c | 2,211$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…eca0backed Over | 51c | 2,201$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…9b29backed Over | 51c | 2,145$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…312abacked Under | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10e…f40cbacked Over | 50c | 2,090$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…f2edbacked Under | 49c | 2,072$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1b…04abbacked Over | 49c | 2,066$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…038bbacked Over | 49c | 2,058$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319a…ded8backed Under | 50c | 2,055$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…eea9backed Over | 49c | 2,033$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…18c3backed Over | 51c | 2,023$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…e749backed Under | 50c | 1,960$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…4688backed Under | 49c | 1,946$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd952…b2f6backed Over | 49c | 1,926$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…ec90backed Over | 49c | 1,922$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…b880backed Under | 49c | 1,905$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091c…9ec8backed Under | 49c | 1,899$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…ea63backed Over | 49c | 1,869$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…5cf7backed Over | 50c | 1,868$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af4…4faabacked Over | 50c | 1,840$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…a9acbacked Under | 49c | 1,828$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd84…7dadbacked Over | 50c | 1,818$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…a644backed Under | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 1,764$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 57c | 1,758$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.85 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…2cf7backed Over | 51c | 1,755$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…f3a4backed Over | 50c | 1,736$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff22…59a4backed Over | 51c | 1,717$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 66c | 1,714$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.82 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…ae60backed Over | 49c | 1,711$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…d5e5backed Under | 50c | 1,698$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc074…425bbacked Over | 51c | 1,622$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…2e72backed Over | 50c | 1,596$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8115…b6d9backed Over | 51c | 1,579$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…4986backed Over | 49c | 1,535$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…278ebacked Under | 51c | 1,499$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,495$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1929…a95ebacked Over | 49c | 1,458$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7962…fcabbacked Over | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 1,295$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…d21ebacked Over | 49c | 1,255$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1a…f14bbacked Over | 50c | 1,242$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c59…0a50backed Under | 51c | 1,231$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…bd1cbacked Under | 50c | 1,187$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Under | 42c | 1,186$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…330bbacked Under | 50c | 1,148$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 44c | 1,102$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 43c | 1,067$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1830…c505backed Under | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…ef6bbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 977.8$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.59 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 958.95$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.17 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…3eddbacked Over | 50c | 938$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…6836backed Over | 49c | 931$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 888.24$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.24 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 51c | 790$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.1 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 32c | 779.65$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.18 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb2…0492backed Over | 50c | 752$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 692.22$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.11 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…2ac1backed Under | 49c | 628$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…fa74backed Over | 49c | 565$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 30c | 557.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…edc1backed Under | 51c | 545$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. HeatSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.