Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9982a540c40cd07c5577771bd2352b253852566e1242da497733cd80bc24f883
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Nigma Galaxy, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,644 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 76c | 6,579$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.56 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 5,600$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.11 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 5,112$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 4,777$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.85 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 4,615$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.42 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 3,917$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.23 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 3,640$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.27 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,913$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.59 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 1,892$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.58 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 1,786$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.03 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 1,520$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.69 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,124$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.84 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,100$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 934.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 774.91$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.63 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons | 75c | 758.29$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 730$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.44 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 722.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 599.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 573.85$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.02 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 504.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 499.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 477.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 68c | 399.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 368.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Falcons | 77c | 324.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 76c | 300.32$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Team Falcons | 76c | 263.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Falcons | 74c | 250.53$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Team Falcons | 77c | 248.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Falcons | 71c | 247.61$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 218.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons | 77c | 217.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 197.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 153.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Falcons | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 140.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 118$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 112.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 72c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 108.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Team Falcons | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 93.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 85.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Team Falcons | 58c | 83.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team Falcons | 63c | 71.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed Team Falcons | 67c | 71.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…fb85backed Team Falcons | 71c | 70.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 67.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…6e3ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 63.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…8181backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 55.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 52.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 50.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 50.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 49.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Falcons | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Falcons | 72c | 45.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 43.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Falcons | 74c | 42.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Team Falcons | 52c | 41.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 40.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed Team Falcons | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87eb…456ebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 32.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Team Falcons | 62c | 32.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Falcons | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 27.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 27.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59d…64adbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 27.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…3411backed Team Falcons | 76c | 26.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Falcons | 75c | 23.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Team Falcons | 52c | 23.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 23.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 21.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Team Falcons | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Team Falcons | 76c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Falcons | 71c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Falcons | 75c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…67a7backed Team Falcons | 75c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons | 75c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.