Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x218128426041bb1939238cdc0a65ef48940127dc9b12a3d9c96a674f8f663420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Nigma Galaxy, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,263 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 15,945$11,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.8 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 15,265$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.24 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 12,202$8,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.72 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed Team Falcons | 79c | 4,380$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 4,268$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.94 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 4,240$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.93 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 3,452$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.46 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 2,530$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.76 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 2,012$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.8 | 1,202 | 42.8%514 W · 688 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,550$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.32 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 1,205$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.47 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,193$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,207 | 59.3%716 W · 491 L | +64.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,188$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,071$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.91 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 977.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 900.31$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.1 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 73c | 640.2$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Falcons | 79c | 455.4$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 449.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 422.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 394.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 77c | 353.16$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 327.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 79c | 316.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 299.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 286.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 2,835 | 43.6%1,237 W · 1,598 L | -39.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 283.05$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons | 71c | 281.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 239.39$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 238.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Falcons | 73c | 223.25$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Falcons | 73c | 222.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 64c | 199.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 192.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 304 | 56.6%172 W · 132 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 152.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 62c | 146.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Team Falcons | 73c | 136.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 126.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…236dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 124.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 111.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Team Falcons | 73c | 90.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Falcons | 73c | 84.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Team Falcons | 73c | 82.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 195 | 40.5%79 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Team Falcons | 72c | 75.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 73.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 72.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed Team Falcons | 73c | 68.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 66.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 65.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 65.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Team Falcons | 78c | 64.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 61.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 60.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Team Falcons | 73c | 55.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 54.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Team Falcons | 73c | 53.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Team Falcons | 73c | 51.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…4b6abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 48.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 46.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Falcons | 74c | 46.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…8c25backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 45.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 44.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…88f2backed Team Falcons | 72c | 43.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7f4bbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 42.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 41.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 41.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59d…64adbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 40.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed Team Falcons | 73c | 37.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…1e8bbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Team Falcons | 73c | 34.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…47aabacked Team Falcons | 73c | 32.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed Team Falcons | 73c | 29.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…4f09backed Team Falcons | 72c | 23.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7981…dd95backed Team Falcons | 72c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Team Falcons | 73c | 20.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…f543backed Team Falcons | 73c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…9a99backed Team Falcons | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…fc0dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 18.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…4339backed Team Falcons | 75c | 16.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.