Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa10a7c82152219d70b0e4c12fea3776d7ea261f679ee49fe1b7807bfe0637ed1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,937 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked OG | 60c | 54,054$32,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,648.51 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 33,480$13,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,915.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 16,867$6,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,932.37 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 14,926$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,925.88 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 6,281$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.27 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed OG | 46c | 6,161$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.1 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed OG | 27c | 6,135$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 2,539$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.77 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed OG | 50c | 2,299$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.33 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed OG | 60c | 2,188$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.16 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 2,054$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.65 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed OG | 6c | 1,826$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 60c | 1,710$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.97 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked OG | 61c | 1,513$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.17 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,481$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.96 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,432$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.1 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked OG | 61c | 1,223$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.66 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed OG | 61c | 1,178$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.35 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed OG | 61c | 1,013$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.5 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked OG | 20c | 1,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed OG | 61c | 989.95$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.85 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 60c | 956.32$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.3 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 864.64$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 849.37$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.2 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked OG | 38c | 825.3$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.94 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 815.34$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.89 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed OG | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked OG | 61c | 765.5$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.28 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 759.53$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 44c | 746.6$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.87 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed OG | 23c | 550.68$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 516.52$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked OG | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed OG | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed OG | 24c | 500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 65c | 464.45$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.45 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 408.72$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed OG | 61c | 404.28$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.64 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed OG | 61c | 400.53$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.54 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked OG | 60c | 397.29$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed OG | 26c | 379.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 353.08$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.92 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 347.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked OG | 61c | 338.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 335.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed OG | 61c | 322.95$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked OG | 61c | 320.8$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 310.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed OG | 61c | 288.96$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 251.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked OG | 61c | 250.23$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed OG | 61c | 245.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.21 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7f4bbacked OG | 61c | 238.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.02 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked OG | 61c | 233.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…de38backed OG | 60c | 231.02$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…4b6abacked OG | 61c | 227.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed OG | 61c | 224.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…88f2backed OG | 61c | 220.64$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 212.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.32 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked OG | 61c | 209.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked OG | 61c | 200.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed OG | 61c | 198.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked OG | 62c | 180.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed OG | 59c | 170.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 170.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 157.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b25…665dbacked OG | 60c | 156.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed OG | 61c | 154.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…21c2backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 144.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed OG | 61c | 130.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked OG | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked OG | 22c | 129.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…4f09backed OG | 61c | 113.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9697…8024backed OG | 61c | 105.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OG | 27c | 103.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7981…dd95backed OG | 61c | 102.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74a…a3adbacked OG | 62c | 101.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…b54abacked OG | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed OG | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked OG | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed OG | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…fc0dbacked OG | 61c | 91.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…7188backed OG | 61c | 85.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 46c | 83.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed OG | 60c | 82.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked OG | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed OG | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.