Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b41926f72abdf24678f5e64e75497af1a440754671fbf3c92dd9c05a83aeb7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof Virtus.pro, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,546 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 17,951$8,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,417.31 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 55c | 11,012$6,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.25 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked OG | 69c | 9,171$6,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.41 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 9,100$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.96 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed OG | 65c | 8,873$5,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.11 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 5,793$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.26 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 4,673$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 62c | 4,408$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.19 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 67c | 4,401$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.53 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 62c | 4,063$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.44 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked OG | 65c | 3,217$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.05 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 2,283$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked OG | 53c | 2,096$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.23 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,738$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.63 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed OG | 75c | 1,652$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.89 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 1,486$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.42 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,320$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.1 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 71c | 1,240$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.87 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 71c | 1,220$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.66 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,179$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,082$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.79 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 64c | 1,029$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.38 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 989.14$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed OG | 62c | 949.58$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.07 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 892.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed OG | 58c | 869.99$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 849.13$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed OG | 70c | 848.33$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 803.34$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 705.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 669.47$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 661.64$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.07 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 632.76$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 613.43$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed OG | 53c | 590.17$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.01 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed OG | 61c | 582$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked OG | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 491.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 46c | 480.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed OG | 65c | 464.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…236dbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 460.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 431.64$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked OG | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked OG | 59c | 408.88$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed OG | 63c | 354.52$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 330$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed OG | 76c | 326$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c92…01cabacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 310.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked OG | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed OG | 73c | 276.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked OG | 55c | 273.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…9529backed OG | 78c | 255.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed OG | 74c | 252.18$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 249.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 219.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 202.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked OG | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 197.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 176.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed OG | 76c | 164.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…6074backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 130.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 122.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed OG | 54c | 110.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed OG | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 94.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 89.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 56c | 82.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed OG | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…c83ebacked OG | 56c | 70.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…3411backed OG | 78c | 56.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked OG | 55c | 54.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad9…47e5backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 47.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…8181backed OG | 53c | 45.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed OG | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 37.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked OG | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…fc0ebacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked OG | 57c | 35.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked OG | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833b…2fe9backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 32.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed OG | 70c | 26.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed OG | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…78e5backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 24.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed OG | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed OG | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed OG | 72c | 17.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 58c | 17.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed OG | 62c | 17.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.