Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cc08ba58fb1b4fea785226996981a4a5f648cda4438e866d1cc1583a074bd70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Nigma Galaxy, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,145 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 38,301$19,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,621.29 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 18,300$10,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,214.67 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 16,125$7,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,897.1 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 13,089$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.8 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nigma Galaxy | 0c | 11,122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 9,793$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187.46 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 9,073$4,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.42 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 4,300$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.5 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 4,000$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.55 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 3,472$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.28 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 3,186$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.63 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,828$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.23 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 2,711$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.36 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,531$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,601$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.09 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,582$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.35 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,289$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.85 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,179$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 1,128$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.88 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,018$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.14 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 911.47$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.53 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 725.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 716.34$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 683.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 682.59$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.63 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 633.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 605.59$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 572.1$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.94 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 571.52$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 529.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.82 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 433.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.76 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 424.64$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.33 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 387.3$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 383.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 374.07$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 372.61$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 370.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 365.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 352.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 330.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 303$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 298.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 283$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 266.32$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 250.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 240.48$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 205.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 198.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 191$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 181.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf185…2ab4backed Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 162.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 154.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 152.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 151.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 139.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 134.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 134.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 129.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 127.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 121.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 116.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7f4bbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 115.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 111.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…42eebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 103.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 98.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 98.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 89.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 87.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…74ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 86.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 75.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 73.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 69.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 66.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 64.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 62.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 55.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…236dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 55.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59d…64adbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 53.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…4f09backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 51.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 50.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.