Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7457befdef4fbc88a310207ef4139a37b8556d0517a3995496e50b3dd6ddc65d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,002 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 23,355$10,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,763.7 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 15,689$7,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,023.12 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 8,873$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.81 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 6,771$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.94 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 6,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.53 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 4,957$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.11 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 3,204$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.6 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,101$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.82 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 1,935$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,172$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.6 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…022fbacked Virtus.pro | 3c | 1,158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,130$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.1 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,040$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.04 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 818.71$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.49 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 645.12$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 505.76$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.78 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 388.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 384.31$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 356$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.05 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 321.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 316.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 275.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 195.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 192.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 183.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 165$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 151.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 146.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 127.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 111.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 106.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 104.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 96.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 95.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 85.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 82.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 82.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 74.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 59.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59d…64adbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 58.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 52.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…4339backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 47.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 47.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 44.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7f4bbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 44.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 42.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 41.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 41.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 40.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…f97fbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 38.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 38.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…224dbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 37.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 35.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 35.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 29.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 28.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 23.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…c640backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 23.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 23.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 22.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 22.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 21.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 21.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 20.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 20.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 20.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…eaf8backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 19.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.