Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fancy United vs TrinitY (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9db85d255b1e0a76618b656ce2a7cd3d2ea4a87c26f4850f1aa24a59c0f0a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fancy Unitedof Fancy United, TrinitY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,708 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked TrinitY | 41c | 4,562$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.2 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Fancy United | 59c | 1,706$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd1…44c7backed Fancy United | 57c | 1,362$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ac…3281backed TrinitY | 43c | 1,362$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…8775backed TrinitY | 43c | 1,150$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Fancy United | 59c | 1,019$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed TrinitY | 42c | 999.72$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.06 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked TrinitY | 51c | 892.99$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed Fancy United | 60c | 731.84$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Fancy United | 58c | 696$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed TrinitY | 42c | 660.86$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.7 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed TrinitY | 35c | 624.31$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.64 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed TrinitY | 45c | 613.97$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.06 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Fancy United | 58c | 535.89$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked Fancy United | 59c | 527.9$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Fancy United | 59c | 519.09$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Fancy United | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Fancy United | 48c | 501.65$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed TrinitY | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fancy United | 35c | 499.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.36 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…6d93backed Fancy United | 59c | 422.03$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Fancy United | 59c | 411.86$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Fancy United | 60c | 397.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TrinitY | 41c | 378.89$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…7b51backed Fancy United | 59c | 356.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…20f9backed Fancy United | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked TrinitY | 42c | 332.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fancy United | 58c | 332.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Fancy United | 62c | 274.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Fancy United | 59c | 256.14$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TrinitY | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…6a7abacked Fancy United | 61c | 240.66$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked TrinitY | 40c | 201.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…18a9backed Fancy United | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7eebbacked Fancy United | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683e…df7fbacked Fancy United | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…d0babacked Fancy United | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Fancy United | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed TrinitY | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TrinitY | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…ec96backed Fancy United | 59c | 186.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Fancy United | 59c | 179.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Fancy United | 59c | 168.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Fancy United | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed TrinitY | 41c | 120.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Fancy United | 59c | 112.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Fancy United | 58c | 108.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Fancy United | 58c | 106.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fancy United | 52c | 102.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked TrinitY | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked TrinitY | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Fancy United | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TrinitY | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed TrinitY | 43c | 93.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Fancy United | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Fancy United | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked TrinitY | 45c | 64.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fancy United | 34c | 53.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Fancy United | 59c | 51.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…1038backed Fancy United | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed TrinitY | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Fancy United | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed TrinitY | 66c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked TrinitY | 45c | 36.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed TrinitY | 46c | 36.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Fancy United | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Fancy United | 60c | 33.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…6a5abacked TrinitY | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Fancy United | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed TrinitY | 41c | 29.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…4cb0backed Fancy United | 59c | 27.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…d98cbacked TrinitY | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0b00backed TrinitY | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87eb…456ebacked TrinitY | 57c | 21.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Fancy United | 53c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked TrinitY | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Fancy United | 60c | 19.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fancy United vs TrinitY (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Fancy United vs TrinitY - Map 2 WinnerFancy United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.