Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1391e12c2c4e2232806dcbc6ac645d686f619fde3703d35efe99424ab97ebee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Xtreme Gaming, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,467 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 61,078$31,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,925.41 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 41,505$20,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,075.48 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 12,123$7,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,906 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 6,176$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.34 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 5,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 5,055$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.94 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 5,029$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.67 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 4,387$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.88 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 3,785$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.17 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 3,755$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,639$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 2,513$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.67 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,231$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.34 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,227$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.41 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,806$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.3 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,726$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.47 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,705$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.61 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9046…227fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 1,517$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 1,508$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 1,367$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.66 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 1,262$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.29 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…022fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 1,233$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,183$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.74 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,121$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.74 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 1,028$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 985$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.9 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 971.83$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.89 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 924.96$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.83 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 858.28$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.43 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 823.42$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.33 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 763$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 754.99$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.65 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 753.94$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 674.05$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 621.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 615.63$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.72 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 581.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 580$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 545.06$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 499.95$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.3 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 457$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 446$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 416$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.75 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 408$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 398.35$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 379.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 369.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 369.13$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.27 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 364.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 357.32$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.27 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 346.92$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 342.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.95 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 340.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 328.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 322.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.74 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 316.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.11 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 316.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 302$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 299.49$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.54 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 297.05$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 280.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 277.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.98 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 271.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 267.23$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 265.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 259.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 255.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.18 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 252$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 240.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 240.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 237$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 235.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 231.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 224.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 220.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 200.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 199.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 191.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 190.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 185.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 181.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 180.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 170.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 170.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 170$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.26 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 157.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.