Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8737541036089d9e3f32f9f60ff551e021136af2330f56717b6a30c38d83cd19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,532 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1776…e557backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 35,156$14,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,927.77 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 7,843$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.5 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 7,500$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.63 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 5,293$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9046…227fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 5,171$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 3,048$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.49 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,518$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.16 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,485$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.44 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 1,943$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.69 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,929$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,777$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.73 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,776$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.98 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,563$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.67 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,508$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.33 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,279$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.54 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 1,240$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,052$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.56 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,037$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.35 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 980.95$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.95 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 949.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 928.56$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 800.75$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.77 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 705.41$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 674.24$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 651.78$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.64 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 514.78$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.78 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 500$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 475.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.39 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 464.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.28 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 392.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 360$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 347.05$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 320.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 317.11$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 287.82$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 272.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.22 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 271.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 262.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 246.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 216.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 214$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 202.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 199.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 170.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 164.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 151.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 147.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 132$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 96.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 79.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 73.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 66.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 62.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7d…bae4backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 57.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 56.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 49.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 49.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 37.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 32.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 30.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 29.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…f000backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…ec97backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.