Euroleague · resolved market
Partizan vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x911df7bbec3ad9688daaa0f0aca61181afa27c47f1c73d8b600c02e18d6625e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Partizan, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Partizan | 28c | 3,639$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.06 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Real Madrid | 72c | 3,459$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Partizan | 18c | 1,868$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.83 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid | 71c | 756.01$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.81 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…2983backed Real Madrid | 72c | 750$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid | 70c | 680.71$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 74c | 675.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Partizan | 27c | 673.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.87 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Partizan | 30c | 483.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Partizan | 32c | 446.66$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Partizan | 29c | 399.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd0…8362backed Partizan | 28c | 293$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…e258backed Real Madrid | 72c | 274.31$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Partizan | 17c | 268.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Partizan | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Partizan | 30c | 229.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…d644backed Real Madrid | 62c | 178.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Partizan | 30c | 171$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Partizan | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Partizan | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Partizan | 30c | 166.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Partizan | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Partizan | 35c | 118.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Partizan | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Partizan | 25c | 90.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Partizan | 30c | 87.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Partizan | 28c | 84.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Partizan | 35c | 77.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Real Madrid | 77c | 75.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87c…e37bbacked Partizan | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Partizan | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Partizan | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 60.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…074abacked Partizan | 25c | 60.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Partizan | 21c | 55.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Partizan | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…98b9backed Real Madrid | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Partizan | 29c | 47.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Partizan | 35c | 46.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 44.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Real Madrid | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Partizan | 38c | 39.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Real Madrid | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Partizan | 33c | 30.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Real Madrid | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Real Madrid | 72c | 29.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Real Madrid | 75c | 25.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Real Madrid | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.