Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a3d849b4c777bf532333b209de85605f27b80d8581b6b1260187a57b758c02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,551 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 15,720$7,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,590.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 51c | 10,428$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.78 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 66c | 8,545$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.1 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed No | 34c | 7,813$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.41 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 34c | 6,195$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.98 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked No | 63c | 4,762$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…5b5cbacked No | 36c | 4,660$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 4,399$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.05 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 3,763$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.15 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 65c | 2,501$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.22 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 2,086$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.15 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 35c | 2,050$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.48 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 34c | 1,789$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.22 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Yes | 59c | 1,582$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 1,470$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…277dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,436$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked No | 62c | 1,194$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.28 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 36c | 980$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed No | 52c | 792.31$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 42c | 699.65$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.81 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 37c | 673.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Yes | 55c | 630.24$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 66c | 606.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed No | 34c | 585.71$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…f595backed Yes | 66c | 520.89$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Yes | 58c | 517.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 44c | 495.9$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.9 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 64c | 468.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 65c | 456.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 439.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6f…ddf5backed No | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 65c | 303.08$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…8941backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 66c | 277.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 67c | 258$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 255.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 36c | 224.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 34c | 219.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 49c | 213$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…fd8cbacked No | 37c | 205.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 35c | 203.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Yes | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 34c | 188$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 65c | 175.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed No | 35c | 173.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…a2efbacked Yes | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 36c | 166.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8169…444bbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.4wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 65c | 153.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 65c | 147$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 35c | 138.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…9059backed No | 36c | 138.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 51c | 135.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 65c | 125.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 54c | 118.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 46c | 106.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 64c | 100.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed No | 35c | 95.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 40c | 92.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…4bdebacked Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked No | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 81.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…1b98backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 74.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 72.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…bd53backed Yes | 66c | 65.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…34c0backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…55b0backed Yes | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…12debacked No | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 64c | 50.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…538cbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…b478backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.