TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,719 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over18c7,090$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.126,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over19c5,741$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.0451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c5,181$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.724,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Over27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over21c2,249$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3512020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66e1…8720backed Under79c1,728$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under79c1,710$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.115534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over16c1,528$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0613054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under79c1,333$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9310960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over21c1,300$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2684731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under69c1,174$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.942,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under79c1,076$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9530050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over38c951.83$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.253956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over20c873.1$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over44c749$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.814235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d7…715dbacked Under68c736.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a08…4badbacked Over23c721.74$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over23c662.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over39c600$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23130645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over47c534.19$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under69c486.57$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7627552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over15c461.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7128633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2212…267ebacked Under74c459.31$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.42520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over36c450.94$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.216445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x797e…fc29backed Over6c438.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9510924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under72c339.02$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.541,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over33c303.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5739948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over31c284.79$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8816731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef04…d06ebacked Over26c279.08$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2266…83b6backed Under74c279.08$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over34c277.02$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.131625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over16c270$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.73154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa26a…fa8bbacked Under79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Under79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over42c247.8$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.834134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Under56c230.29$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.694252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over22c220.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5336554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd7e…cd92backed Under79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over23c196.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over16c187.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.083010%3 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over14c180$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.251847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over30c175$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Under58c172.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.712744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Over20c171.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.89229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-71.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over11c163.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.045135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over44c152.44$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over33c151.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under78c145.93$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over25c140.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0873258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over29c134.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over22c117.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9722335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over26c114.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30319.7%3 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x697e…e944backed Under80c112.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over9c112.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.091,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6889…935bbacked Under59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22f…804dbacked Over48c109$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e38…f11abacked Over48c103.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c101.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3740821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under69c100.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.242638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf450…9817backed Under79c87.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Over32c81.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.252218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-58.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over37c81.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over30c66.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x295a…bdedbacked Over44c66.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2960%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over46c65.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2125550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa793…9059backed Under79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f90…217cbacked Under79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Over33c60.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204122%9 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under79c58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.111,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under80c57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6611753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2518963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x261c…d49dbacked Under78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118100%8 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7718…4c1bbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1349…359bbacked Under79c46.84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed1…d1a5backed Under80c42.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.432572%18 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0f…50bebacked Under79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick76cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked Under80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e6…6fd5backed Under79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over44c31.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over45c31.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Over35c30.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.725933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Under78c30.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.722536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under79c30.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1641260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a7f…5dcebacked Under78c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd2…e809backed Under78c29.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Under75c26.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.575160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Under79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.326448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under69c21.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5423556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc46…44bfbacked Under79c15.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under77c13.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.053357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…3942backed Under78c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb84c…01a5backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2aa…2c12backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.