Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0df07e426e08ad0bee8b52cc271b9db230159bfc9d31ea5aaab633c6e91f959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,719 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 7,090$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 19c | 5,741$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.04 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 5,181$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Over | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 21c | 2,249$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.35 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…8720backed Under | 79c | 1,728$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 79c | 1,710$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 16c | 1,528$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.06 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 79c | 1,333$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.93 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Over | 21c | 1,300$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 1,174$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.94 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 79c | 1,076$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.95 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 38c | 951.83$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 20c | 873.1$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.35 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 44c | 749$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.81 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…715dbacked Under | 68c | 736.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…4badbacked Over | 23c | 721.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 23c | 662.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 39c | 600$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 534.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 69c | 486.57$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.76 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 15c | 461.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…267ebacked Under | 74c | 459.31$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 36c | 450.94$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.21 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 6c | 438.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 72c | 339.02$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over | 33c | 303.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 31c | 284.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…d06ebacked Over | 26c | 279.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…83b6backed Under | 74c | 279.08$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Over | 34c | 277.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 16c | 270$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…fa8bbacked Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 42c | 247.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Under | 56c | 230.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 22c | 220.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…cd92backed Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 23c | 196.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 16c | 187.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 30c | 175$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 58c | 172.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Over | 20c | 171.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 11c | 163.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 44c | 152.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 33c | 151.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 78c | 145.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 25c | 140.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 134.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 22c | 117.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 26c | 114.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…e944backed Under | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 9c | 112.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…935bbacked Under | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…804dbacked Over | 48c | 109$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…f11abacked Over | 48c | 103.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 30c | 101.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 69c | 100.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf450…9817backed Under | 79c | 87.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Over | 32c | 81.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 37c | 81.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Over | 30c | 66.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…bdedbacked Over | 44c | 66.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 65.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…9059backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…217cbacked Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Over | 33c | 60.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 80c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…4c1bbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Under | 79c | 46.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…d1a5backed Under | 80c | 42.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Under | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 76cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e6…6fd5backed Under | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over | 44c | 31.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Over | 35c | 30.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 78c | 30.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 79c | 30.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Under | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…e809backed Under | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 75c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 69c | 21.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…44bfbacked Under | 79c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 77c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Under | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…01a5backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2aa…2c12backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.