TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AFC Bournemouthof Manchester United FC, AFC Bournemouth
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,456 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Manchester United FC25c64,380$16,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,0954841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AFC Bournemouth75c63,398$47,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,736.136,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Manchester United FC25c10,492$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.6815534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked AFC Bournemouth75c4,860$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.963855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked AFC Bournemouth75c3,988$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99718362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Manchester United FC28c3,534$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked AFC Bournemouth75c3,152$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.322,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked AFC Bournemouth73c2,701$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.34,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed AFC Bournemouth76c2,623$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.073154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed AFC Bournemouth71c2,304$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.1813054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Manchester United FC23c1,853$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3212020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Manchester United FC28c1,414$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Manchester United FC25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Manchester United FC31c963.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked AFC Bournemouth77c891.52$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.055255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed AFC Bournemouth79c827.7$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.713550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed AFC Bournemouth75c648.37$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5249753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed AFC Bournemouth76c602.33$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Manchester United FC23c533.7$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked AFC Bournemouth75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12523258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1edd…86c4backed AFC Bournemouth73c477.55$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d6…25d9backed Manchester United FC27c477.55$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Manchester United FC20c440.21$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1828633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8c7…0e95backed Manchester United FC25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Manchester United FC25c399.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.957035.7%25 W · 45 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Manchester United FC21c380.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Manchester United FC25c378.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7423435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Manchester United FC25c335.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6822335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Manchester United FC25c334$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8df9…468cbacked Manchester United FC8c327.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed AFC Bournemouth74c314.54$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.51,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked AFC Bournemouth73c306.5$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.131,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed AFC Bournemouth76c290.2$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7415353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked AFC Bournemouth76c261.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0836554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e55…d06cbacked AFC Bournemouth77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Manchester United FC16c227.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.541643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Manchester United FC24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502524%6 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed AFC Bournemouth75c207.89$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0520763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dec…cefabacked Manchester United FC18c202$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Manchester United FC25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Manchester United FC25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed AFC Bournemouth77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.815851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Manchester United FC25c190$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.530059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed AFC Bournemouth75c189$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed AFC Bournemouth73c182$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked AFC Bournemouth79c172.34$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.196750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Manchester United FC24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed AFC Bournemouth77c162.34$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.345160.8%31 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf45…c794backed Manchester United FC23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.53246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Manchester United FC21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…ccd1backed Manchester United FC25c136$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed AFC Bournemouth74c135.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9432345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed AFC Bournemouth77c132.6$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked AFC Bournemouth78c127.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9242658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Manchester United FC22c110.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6351516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e22…3518backed Manchester United FC25c109$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked AFC Bournemouth76c105.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.412759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda59…d01cbacked Manchester United FC23c104.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Manchester United FC17c101$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.174235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf355…5ab7backed Manchester United FC25c100.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Manchester United FC24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249940.4%40 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed AFC Bournemouth77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2310554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed AFC Bournemouth78c96.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1572142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd7…95b0backed Manchester United FC24c92.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aff…da59backed AFC Bournemouth77c90.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…41d9backed Manchester United FC25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Manchester United FC25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed AFC Bournemouth72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.241260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Manchester United FC23c79.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.331553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x172f…b136backed AFC Bournemouth76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Manchester United FC29c69.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a1…4237backed Manchester United FC29c67.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…1f4fbacked AFC Bournemouth76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe36e…ad3abacked Manchester United FC23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked AFC Bournemouth77c65.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+67.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8798…62b8backed Manchester United FC25c63.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.892040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Manchester United FC26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9375…48d8backed Manchester United FC25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Manchester United FC25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513531.1%42 W · 93 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked AFC Bournemouth76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.415245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Manchester United FC18c58.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.522010%2 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-82.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Manchester United FC25c57.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.363764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed AFC Bournemouth76c56.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.599556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked AFC Bournemouth77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d9…2cefbacked Manchester United FC33c51.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-81.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Manchester United FC23c51.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f90…217cbacked AFC Bournemouth77c50.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.63756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Manchester United FC38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.913727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed AFC Bournemouth79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53278.1%25 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked AFC Bournemouth78c47.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.471973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed AFC Bournemouth74c46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.841,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15bd…9078backed Manchester United FC24c45.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1828…6946backed AFC Bournemouth75c45.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.332356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2646…4523backed Manchester United FC25c44.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1150%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f27…7cc2backed Manchester United FC29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Manchester United FC25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010048%48 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…b1e8backed Manchester United FC25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed AFC Bournemouth76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.475754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked AFC Bournemouth76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.473548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ba…ab32backed AFC Bournemouth75c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.