Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ccfbf41f6fc3f63eab4f3a07f11083d7d96661e1740d9378608bd33365a1b63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,978 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,499.96 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 31,445$17,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,732.27 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 38c | 16,500$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,269.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Over | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 63c | 9,252$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.62 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Under | 38c | 8,193$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 8,159$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.87 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 5,402$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.63 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 61c | 4,954$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.9 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 3,856$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.74 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 2,310$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 1,737$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.17 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Under | 39c | 1,539$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 56c | 1,432$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.06 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Under | 47c | 1,316$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 1,077$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.05 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Under | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 30c | 998.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.39 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 38c | 990.98$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 63c | 964$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.44 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Under | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 31c | 914.65$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.11 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 38c | 912.2$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.8 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 38c | 885.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.12 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 31c | 870$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.3 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 38c | 853.47$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 34c | 840.44$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over | 63c | 834.92$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 37c | 811$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 62c | 699.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.99 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Over | 59c | 610.78$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 52c | 599.96$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 38c | 592.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…a2efbacked Under | 39c | 513.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 27c | 469.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 40c | 447$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 58c | 389.26$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 59c | 377.53$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 72c | 371.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.54 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 57c | 346.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed Under | 38c | 343.3$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 47c | 319$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 51c | 306.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Over | 56c | 289.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 60c | 248.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3a…c3c8backed Over | 38c | 244.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 51c | 232.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 38c | 232.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under | 37c | 223.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 63c | 215.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 178.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 19c | 165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 63c | 158.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 40c | 157.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 37c | 145.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 62c | 137.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 38c | 131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 61c | 129$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 128.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 62c | 127.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…c70bbacked Over | 47c | 122.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 122.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 37c | 111.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Under | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed Under | 48c | 104.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.