Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf12b53d431752eff9143cdf6580480f4b0f7a397ab9f086c3ee16c223624b957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,059 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Under | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 9,604$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,657.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 40c | 7,452$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.08 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 39c | 4,500$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.98 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…e4a2backed Under | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…63d4backed Over | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 61c | 3,100$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 2,839$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.78 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 69c | 2,162$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.04 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…b3e0backed Under | 44c | 2,089$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 61c | 1,863$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.43 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Over | 7c | 1,501$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +653.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Under | 43c | 1,446$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 40c | 1,275$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.9 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 26c | 1,249$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.01 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 41c | 1,208$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 59c | 1,023$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.61 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 39c | 999.91$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.94 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 61c | 983$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.63 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…e094backed Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 26c | 750$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…715dbacked Over | 40c | 708.3$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 31c | 700$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 60c | 688.03$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.21 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 61c | 674.26$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.34 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Over | 40c | 588.25$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 40c | 560$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 41cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 39c | 556.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.6 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 27c | 549.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Under | 61c | 496.86$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 27c | 439.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Under | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Under | 43c | 399.88$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 365.29$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.46 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 76c | 329.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 61c | 278.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 39c | 250$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 40c | 239.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 60c | 236.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 236.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 60c | 222.88$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.73 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 209.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Under | 43c | 203.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed Over | 40c | 170.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…68c1backed Under | 61c | 165.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 59c | 164.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf09…0bbbbacked Over | 40c | 163$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…e369backed Over | 41c | 153$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 46c | 148$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…827bbacked Over | 41c | 146$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 39c | 145$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 39c | 135.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…acccbacked Over | 40c | 130.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…a1a1backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 66c | 124.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedc…aa38backed Over | 40c | 122$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…97b6backed Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…1e90backed Over | 40c | 114$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over | 59c | 113.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 60c | 112.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 103.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e3…5630backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 61c | 98.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…3be4backed Over | 40c | 90.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 22c | 83.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 39c | 82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…4788backed Over | 65c | 76.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8169…444bbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5d…e6e8backed Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 73.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 31c | 71.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Under | 43c | 70.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Over | 32c | 66.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…7793backed Under | 60c | 64.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Over | 37c | 64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 39c | 63.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.