Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d148f60deb87f412b78b9dc3db6b1b3bae638018a29c6610bfb700a136d3fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,812 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 22,506$6,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,802.76 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.89 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 41c | 8,357$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 7,188$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.75 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 46c | 5,216$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 55c | 4,351$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.95 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 65c | 3,537$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 56c | 2,599$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.67 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 35c | 1,900$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 1,749$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.45 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 42c | 1,546$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.31 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 53c | 1,314$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 1,249$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.2 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Under | 16c | 1,188$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 15c | 1,058$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 69c | 1,003$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Under | 32c | 970.15$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.56 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 931.25$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 899.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 22c | 896$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 17c | 849.8$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 75c | 733.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 50c | 729$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 70c | 684$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Over | 59c | 672.22$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 77c | 557$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 48c | 515$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 51c | 487.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.26 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under | 18c | 416.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 407.44$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 50c | 400.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 10c | 400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 37c | 378.42$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Under | 42c | 347.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Under | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…0657backed Under | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 53c | 333.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 18c | 331.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 18c | 323.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30c9…28f4backed Over | 59c | 296.75$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 67c | 265.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…ae92backed Over | 67c | 256.49$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 77c | 251.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 10c | 242.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 17c | 220.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.4wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 199.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 195.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 31c | 182.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Under | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Over | 59c | 168.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 33c | 164.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 48c | 134.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 56c | 122.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 120.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 17c | 110.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 65c | 103$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Under | 17c | 100.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…b213backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Over | 59c | 98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Over | 48c | 95.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Under | 19c | 89.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 64c | 83.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 14c | 82.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 17c | 81.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 70c | 76.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 65c | 64.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…72acbacked Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.