TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,812 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c22,506$6,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,802.766,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.8913630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under41c8,357$3,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,426.251457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under15c7,188$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.752,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under46c5,216$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over55c4,351$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.9512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over65c3,537$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.094158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over56c2,599$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.673630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under35c1,900$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.141947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over64c1,749$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.4574056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under42c1,546$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.314235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over53c1,314$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.41145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over52c1,249$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.29550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed Under16c1,188$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1410236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under15c1,058$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over69c1,003$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.91757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1360%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Under32c970.15$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.563246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c931.25$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.322,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c899.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Under22c896$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under17c849.8$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.471,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4614138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over75c733.33$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3330050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over50c729$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.53938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over70c684$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2034768.1%32 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Over59c672.22$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.612560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over77c557$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6813054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7128633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over48c515$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.82846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over51c487.26$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2635028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under18c416.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.992030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under41c407.44$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0531648.7%154 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under50c400.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under10c400$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3977236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under37c378.42$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1396442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.886160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Under42c347.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.151973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5056…0657backed Under18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under53c333.11$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.141353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under18c331.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6736554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under18c323.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5922335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12310569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30c9…28f4backed Over59c296.75$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506762.7%42 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.786358.7%37 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over67c265.72$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.692850%14 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2206…ae92backed Over67c256.49$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over77c251.18$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6812020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c250$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10855254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under10c242.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.14740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under17c220.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5239052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002528%7 W · 18 L-7.4wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-48.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c199.92$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9610252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c195.54$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.14,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under31c182.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.51233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Under28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Over59c168.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.761968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under33c164.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over65c153.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.841729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810258.8%60 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8535347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under35c135$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1811753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over48c134.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.698048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over56c122.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.037254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c120.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3420864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Under17c110.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.731729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-54.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over65c103$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4525052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Under17c100.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.021625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb992…0838backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Under16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc952…1d90backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Under22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d6…b213backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb7…618ebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over59c98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Over48c95.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under15c95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2919441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Under19c89.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.542119%4 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over64c83.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.155362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under14c82.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under17c81.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7815353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over70c76.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.071154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over50c74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.922268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over65c64.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.624266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0888…72acbacked Over55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.