South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7f42781b362a4eabbb135fa6413928b7c8c0e12c827a1521c77c28be12e5fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 56c | 8,191$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 3,672$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 2,896$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,200$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 57c | 1,125$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 999.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 45c | 445.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 359.47$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 58c | 333.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 53c | 297.36$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…864abacked Over | 46c | 290.77$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 57c | 282.18$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 51c | 180.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Over | 65c | 152.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 60c | 123.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 115.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 100.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 42c | 96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 91.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 57c | 85.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Over | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 49c | 70.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 66cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Over | 44c | 45.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed Under | 56c | 44.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…2d88backed Under | 44c | 43.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Over | 53c | 42.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 47c | 37.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 44c | 35.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…f595backed Over | 61c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked Over | 46c | 31.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 59c | 23.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 44c | 23.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 21.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Over | 65c | 19.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Under | 60c | 17.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.